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March 2009: Press Release

Top 22 Operators Account for 50% of Total WiMAX Subscribers

Maravedis releases research on select group of operators who will make or break WiMAX

MONTREAL, Canada, March 30, 2009 –The top 22 operators worldwide will contribute nearly 2.5 million subscribers by the end of 2009 – up from 1.24 million today – and close to 4 million by the end of 2010 according to the latest research report from Maravedis entitled “The Top 22: Operators Who Will Make or Break WiMAX.”

Operators selected for the report enjoy two key conditions: they have deep enough pockets to deploy major networks and have access to sufficient spectrum to be profitable in the long term. In fact 46% of operators interviewed have 50MHz or more of spectrum, while 45% have more than US$100 million in cash. These operators include obvious names such as Clearwire, and also operators who currently enjoy a relatively small subscriber base, but for whom Maravedis believes there is great potential, such as Scartel (Russia). Other such “strategic” operators include: UQ Communications (Japan), Far EasTone (Taiwan), BSNL (India) and Telmex International.

Of fundamental importance to many operators is how to bring forward new deployments that can support market demands for higher bandwidth and a richer mix of applications and content.  “A major focus of this report is to provide insights of the plans and experiences of the top 22 operators.  At this volatile juncture, it is important to keep close tabs on evolution of network deployments and services”, said Adlane Fellah, CEO of Maravedis Inc

“Interestingly, 42% of these operators are considering or planning to deploy LTE,” said Cintia Garza, Senior Analyst and co-author of the report. “Networks have been dominated so far by standalone CPEs as well PC peripherals such as USB dongles and PC cards. Embedded multimode devices are only emerging in the last few months thanks to operators such as Scartel,” added Garza.

Although the top 22 WiMAX operators enjoy the support of strong investor groups and deep pockets to offset limited credit facilities, they are still impacted by the financial crisis. Given the current global economic uncertainty, wireless capital expenditures by most of the top WiMAX operators are predicted to slow down in 2009. “Furthermore, some operators are feeling pressure from not having the right spectrum or sufficient spectrum to achieve their deployment plans,” added Basharat Ashai, co-author of the report.

“It is important to keep in mind that WiMAX is just now entering a phase of commercial availability that makes volume applications, including machine to machine, utility monitoring, metro-wide mobile broadband and embedded consumer applications feasible. In addition, the lean WiMAX ecosystem has already reached price points for ICs, modules and devices to compete in volume markets,” noted Robert Syputa, Partner & Senior Analyst.

SELECT KEY FINDINGS

1. 47% of current networks account for less than 10,000 subscribers
2. 75% of operators have more than 10 million POP covered
3. Operators are generating an average ARPU of US$35 for residential services and US$93 for business services
4. 33% of operators use only microwave radios for their backhaul
5. 52% plan to deploy femtocells in the next 24 months

Questions Answered by the Report

1. Who are the most promising WiMAX operators worldwide and what are their characteristics?
2. What current market strategies and tactics are operators using?
3. What applications are driving their business?
4. What revenues are generated?
5. Who is making money?
6. What major challenges do operators face?
7. How has the financial crisis impacted these top operators?
8. What are their network plans and projections for 2009-2010?
9. What plans to use femtocells are being planned?
10. What will operators do vis-à-vis LTE technology?
11. What are the backhaul characteristics of the top operators?
12. And much more!

  “The Top 22: Operators Who Will Make or Break WiMAX” market report is now available.

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MARAVEDIS is a leading analyst firm focusing on disruptive technologies including smart networks using WiMAX, IEEE, and 3GPP/LTE. Maravedis works with system and service providers, vendors, regulators, and institutional investors. Learn more at www.maravedis-bwa.com.

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Press Contact:
Adlane Fellah - CEO and founder
Tel: +1 305.992.3196
afellah@maravedis-bwa.com